Offense 24.2 PPG 26.6 PPG
Defense 20.3 PPG 16.2 PPG
Off Rush 120.2 YPG 231.2 YPG
Off Pass 230.5 YPG 117.2 YPG
Off Total 350.7 YPG 348.4 YPG
Def Rush 161.3 YPG 124.4 YPG
Def Pass 154.3 YPG 182.8 YPG
Def Total 315.7 YPG 307.2 YPG
T/O Margin -6 +2
Hidden Stats to Watch
USF has only allowed five sacks all season, which is tops in the
conference. Pitt has allowed 20 which is dead last in the conference. Pitt has
only converted 335 of the time on third downs. USF has the worst Red Zone
offense in the conference.
USF is coming off a bye week. The weekend prior to the bye, they were
defeated 27-7 by
Pat Julmiste leads the Bulls offense. This year he has completed 49 of 95 passes for 506 yards, four touchdowns and five interceptions. He holds a 51.6 completion percentage and a 99.7 passer rating.
Tyler Palko is second in the conference in total yardage. This season he has completed 107 of 198 passes for 1,366 yards, nine touchdowns and six interceptions. He holds a 54% completion percentage and a 120.9 passer rating.
Analysis: Julmiste has struggled to be a consistent passer in this offense. Palko appears to be on the verge of breaking out of a horrible slump to start the season. He is now using his weapons and not trying to do everything himself.
USF features the second leading rusher in the conference in Andre Hall. This season hall has carried 103 times for 519 yards and six touchdowns. Hall is also a dangerous weapon out of the backfield as he has caught 11 passes for 96 yards and one touchdown.
Rashad Jennings had his break through game as he carried 11 times for 102
yards and a touchdown last week against
Analysis: Hall is one of the top backs in the country and he is consistent. Pitt needs one of its backs to step up and be the go-to guy. It's imperative that the panthers get Stephens back.
Former Pitt commit Johnny Peyton leads the Bulls with 11 catches for 118 yards and three touchdowns. They feature plenty of speed at the position, but have been unable to find a consistent target.
Greg Lee leads the conference in receptions per game. On the season he has caught 29 passes for 558 yards and four touchdowns. Derek Kinder and Darrell Strong have shown flashes of being capable options for the Panthers. Pitt features arguably the best tight end tandem in the conference with Erik Gill and Steve Buches.
Analysis: Fans would love to see Pitt use Strong more then they are. The same could be said for the tight ends. Peyton is a dangerous weapon for the Bulls, but got to give the edge to Greg Lee.
Stephen Nicholas leads the Bulls with five sacks and 105 tackles for loss. Defensive end Terrence Royal has recorded 3.5 sacks. Linebacker Ben Moffitt is the leader of the Bulls defense, he has registered 23 solo tackles, 18 assists, 41 total tackles, six tackles for loss, and he has forced four fumbles. Louis Gachette leads the bulls with two interceptions.
Darrelle Revis is one of the top cover corners in the nation. Revis leads Pitt with three interceptions and nine passes defended. H.B. blades leads the panthers with 30 solo tackles, 32 assists, 65 total tackles.
Analysis: Pitt is showing some signs of life on defense. On the defensive line we give USF the advantage. At Linebacker we feel both teams are fairly even. In the secondary give the advantage to Pitt.
Kyle Bronson has nailed all 14 of his PAT's and three of five field
Josh Cummings missed two games due to injury, but he has converted 8-11 FG's and five of five PAT's. Adam Graessle is third in the conference with an average of 42.9 yards per punt . Darrelle Revis is second in the conference in punt returns with an average of 14.6 yards per return. Terrell Allen and Larod Stephens are both very dangerous kick returners.
Analysis: This component of the game could decide the outcome. Both teams are very evenly matched in special teams. We give the nod to Pitt because of the open end zone and Pitt's familiarity with it.
Prediction: Pitt 27, USF 24